если кому интересно ,,,
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Fisher | Fri, Sep 1 at 2:23pm:
В ответ на: growth rates posted by Fisher on Thu, Aug 31 at 11:01am:
From my standpoint,having produced many an estimate in my days,it's a complicated subject which is taught in business school, and learned through practical application. Estimating requires building of a model of the industry or the company, using history as a starting point to determine relationships and variables which drive an industry or a company, and factoring in knowledge you have about the future as it will impact the industry or company in order to develop a forecast or estimate. If you have no unique knowlwdge about the future (ie. new products, new markets, acquisitions,regulatory changes, technological changes, etc.)you can develop a forecast based purely on extrapolating past trends.I suggest you get hold of a good managerial accounting textbook or scour the web for articles on the subject. Software is available to help you build models, but you must have a fundamental understanding of financial statements and the key drivers involved in the growth in an industry or specific company.Bob
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